Classical Chess960 statistics in 2019 WFRCC: Magnus & Hikaru are lowest? Nepo top 2 !

Series : Good guys vs Bad guys – Table of Contents

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Initially posted on chessc*m:

https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/classical-chess960-statistics-magnus-hikaru-are-lowest

https://www.chess.com/forum/view/chess-variants/classical-chess960-statistics-magnus-hikaru-are-lowest

And twitter https://twitter.com/nicbentulan/status/1640542966619205632

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I recently found out that 60 minute games DO count as classical. It’s just that they’re not rated for 2700+ players.

That means the 2019 WFRCC was primarily classical games, but for some reason FIDE called those 60 minute games as ‘slow rapid’. I like to think of the 2019 WFRCC as really a classical world championship since every match’s classical winner is the match’s winner i.e. no one lost the classical portion and then later caught up by winning in the lower time control games.

Anyway, if you ignore the low sample size and the uneven number of games, then these are the calculations for their scores:

Place

Player

Games

Draws

Wins

Score

Losses

	By score then losses
1	“w”esley “s”o	14	8	6	71.43%	0
2	Vidit Gujrathi	4	2	1	50.00%	1
3	Ian Nepomniachtchi	12	6	3	50.00%	3
4	Fabiano Caruana	12	4	4	50.00%	4
5	Alireza Firouzja	6	5	0	41.67%	1
6 & 7	Hikaru Nakamura	4	3	0	37.50%	1
6 & 7	Peter Svidler	4	3	0	37.50%	1
8	Vladimir Fedoseev	4	1	1	37.50%	2
9	Magnus Carlsen	8	2	2	37.50%	4

	By score then wins
1	“w”esley “s”o	14	8	6	71.43%	0
2	Fabiano Caruana	12	4	4	50.00%	4
3	Ian Nepomniachtchi	12	6	3	50.00%	3
4	Vidit Gujrathi	4	2	1	50.00%	1
5	Alireza Firouzja	6	5	0	41.67%	1
6	Magnus Carlsen	8	2	2	37.50%	4
7	Vladimir Fedoseev	4	1	1	37.50%	2
8 & 9	Peter Svidler	4	3	0	37.50%	1
8 & 9	Hikaru Nakamura	4	3	0	37.50%	1

Also Nepo is more talented than Magnus in:

• classical only (final 4)
• rapid only (final 4)
• classical only (including quarter-finals)

Larry Kaufman ( hissha ) says: Larry Kaufman explains why Magnus sucks at 9LX

In classical chess960:

1. The 2019 classical WFRCC Wesley So is UNDEFEATED 14/14 games, has played the most games and has the fewest losses, most draws & most wins.
2. The now 5x & reigning (then 4x & reigning) WCC Magnus Carlsen has the lowest score and has the most losses.
3. The future 2022 rapid WFRCC Hikaru Nakamura has the lowest score and has the fewest wins (tied with Peter Svidler).
4. Wesley So has never lost a game and is the only 1 to have never lost a game.
5. Hikaru Nakamura has never won a game.
6. The other 2 world champions Hikaru Nakamura & Magnus Carlsen are tied for lowest score.
7. Alireza Firouzja, Hikaru Nakamura and Peter Svidler are the most drawish players:
8. Finally, draw rate & score have a correlation coefficient of -1.37%, i.e. almost uncorrelated i.e. almost linearly independent.

Place	Player	Games	Draws	Draw Rate	Wins
	Draw Rate, then wins
1	Alireza Firouzja	6	5	83.33%	0
2 & 3	Hikaru Nakamura	4	3	75.00%	0
2 & 3	Peter Svidler	4	3	75.00%	0
4	“w”esley “s”o	14	8	57.14%	6
5	Ian Nepomniachtchi	12	6	50.00%	3
6	Vidit Gujrathi	4	2	50.00%	1
7	Fabiano Caruana	12	4	33.33%	4
8	Magnus Carlsen	8	2	25.00%	2
9	Vladimir Fedoseev	4	1	25.00%	1

Data: (from ‘In the 2019 WFRCC, did anyone catch up in a match after losing in the ‘slow rapid’ (classical?) portion?‘ – Answer btw is no.)

Semi-finals:

– Magnus vs Fabi – Magnus won the slow rapid 7.5-4.5 & then overall 12.5-7.5.

– Nepo vs Wesley So – Wesley So won the slow rapid 9-3 & then overall 13-5.

Finals & 3rd place:

– Nepo vs Fabi – Nepo won the slow rapid 7.5-4.5 & then overall 12.5-5.5.

– Magnus vs Wesley So – Wesley So won the slow rapid 10.5-1.5 & then overall 13.5-2.5.

Quarter-finals Day 1:

– [Svidler vs Fabi][1] – Fabi won the slow rapid 4.5-1.5 and then overall 7-5.
– [Wesley So vs Hikaru][2] – N/A – They drew the slow rapid.
– [Fedoseev vs Vidit][3] – N/A – They drew the slow rapid.
– [Alireza vs Nepo (on Day 1)][4] – N/A – They drew the slow rapid.

Quarter-finals Day 2:

– [Vidit vs Alireza][5] – N/A – They drew the slow rapid.
– [Wesley So vs Svidler][2] – N/A – They drew the slow rapid.

Quarter-finals Day 3:

– [Fedoseev vs Wesley So][2] – Wesley So won the slow rapid 4.5-1.5 and then overall 7-5.
– [Hikaru vs Fabi][6] – Fabi won the slow rapid 4.5-1.5 and then overall 6.5-1.5.
– [Alireza vs Nepo (again)][4] – Nepo won the slow rapid 4.5-1.5 and then overall 6.5-3.5.

  [1]: https://www.chess.com/games/archive/psvidler?gameOwner=other_game&gameType=live&gameTypeslive%5B%5D=liveChess960&opponent=fabianocaruana&endDate%5Bdate%5D=10/31/2019&startDate%5Bdate%5D=10/01/2019&timeSort=desc&opponentTitle=any
  [2]: https://www.chess.com/games/archive/gmwso?gameOwner=other_game&gameType=live&gameTypeslive%5B%5D=liveChess960&endDate%5Bdate%5D=10/31/2019&startDate%5Bdate%5D=10/01/2019&timeSort=desc&opponentTitle=any
  [3]: https://www.chess.com/games/archive/viditchess?gameOwner=other_game&gameType=live&gameTypeslive%5B%5D=liveChess960&opponent=bigfish1995&endDate%5Bdate%5D=10/31/2019&startDate%5Bdate%5D=10/01/2019&timeSort=desc&opponentTitle=any
  [4]: https://www.chess.com/games/archive/lachesisq?gameOwner=other_game&gameType=live&gameTypeslive%5B%5D=liveChess960&opponent=firouzja2003&endDate%5Bdate%5D=10/31/2019&startDate%5Bdate%5D=10/01/2019&timeSort=desc&opponentTitle=any
  [5]: https://www.chess.com/games/archive/viditchess?gameOwner=other_game&gameType=live&gameTypeslive%5B%5D=liveChess960&opponent=firouzja2003&endDate%5Bdate%5D=10/31/2019&startDate%5Bdate%5D=10/01/2019&timeSort=desc&opponentTitle=any
  [6]: https://www.chess.com/games/archive/hikaru?gameOwner=other_game&gameType=live&gameTypeslive%5B%5D=liveChess960&opponent=fabianocaruana&endDate%5Bdate%5D=10/31/2019&startDate%5Bdate%5D=10/01/2019&timeSort=desc&opponentTitle=any

P.S.

Please help Wesley So get on Lex Fridman’s podcast:

https://www.reddit.com/xcdhgq

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