Statistics: Armageddon with auction. 2023 Chess (CCT) vs 2022 Chess960 (WFRCC)

Duplicate of:

https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/statistics-armageddon-with-auction-2023-chess-cct-vs-2022-chess960-wfrcc

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I compiled data of all 77 armageddon games = 73 CCT 2023 + 4 WFRCC 2022 and found:

1. White win rate: All less than half in chess. Exactly half in chess960.
2. Average bid in 2023 Champions Chess Tour so far (Airthings Masters, Chessable Masters) is 0:10:31. In 2022 WFRCC, it’s 0:12:06.
   • Black is 13% more desirable in chess compared to chess960.

Armageddon statistics	White win rate	Average bid	Standard Deviation
2023 WFRCC	50.00%	0:12:06	0:00:57
2023 CCT	45.21%	0:10:31	0:01:31
2023 Airthings	42.42%	0:10:43	0:01:36
2023 Chessable	47.50%	0:10:21	0:01:27

1. Question: Which side has the advantage in an Armageddon tiebreak game?
   1. Answer: Armageddon Chess is a fair tie-break system only if the two players bid for how much time Black should have.
   2. https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/7962/which-side-has-the-advantage-in-an-armageddon-tiebreak-game/32583#32583 
2. https://www.chess.com/forum/view/for-beginners/why-dont-we-play-both-colours-or-armageddon-like-chess960-baseball-csgo-valorant  – wordpress edit : ‘Why don’t we play both colours or Armageddon? Like chess960, baseball, csgo, valorant.’ where I talk about the hypocrisy of chess.

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More tables:

2023 Airthings
Base time	0:15:00
Ave bid	0:10:43
Ave bid if white wins	0:10:48
Ave bid if black wins	0:10:40
2023 Chessable
Base time	0:15:00
Ave bid	0:10:21
Ave bid if white wins	0:10:20
Ave bid if black wins	0:10:21
2022 WFRCC
Base time	0:15:00
Ave bid	0:12:06
Ave bid if white wins	0:12:55
Ave bid if black wins	0:11:17
2023 CCT
Base time	0:15:00
Ave bid	0:10:31
Ave bid if white wins	0:10:31
Ave bid if black wins	0:10:30

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